DFS NHL Strategy: Analyzing Line Matchups
I mentioned in my”How to Win Playing DFS Hockey” article that Brett and I are different than most DFS NHL analysts since we take the opportunity to consider line matchups when doing our nightly DFS research.
There his so much more to DFS NHL than picking players from good teams who play against bad teams. I mean, it’s absolutely possible for a random drama to hit, and rather likely if that random drama comes with a fantastic player. Nonetheless, with pricing becoming tighter and tighter, and a seemingly abundance of options with these big 10+ game slates, it would certain behoove one to narrow things down whenever you can.
Last season. Com was the place to go when it came to figuring out online matchup tendencies. This season, I’m putting in a great word for those guys at naturalstattrick.com. Through Natural Stat Trick, you can test each game by seeing a participant’s linemates, and a participant’s opposition. Keep in mind, in the National Hockey League, the Road team is needed to put five players on the ice prior to each puck drop. The Home team has the advantage because they possess the ability to matchup any of their five players with all the Away team’s five players. This could force potential mismatches, like a Home team fitting the opposing group’s 4th line using their #1 lineup.
In general, there will be three lines you want to think about for any team. Ordinarily, it’s likely to be a #1 or #2 lineup, but occasionally, #3 traces will acquire good matchups also. The majority of the time, it is possible to ignore #4 traces since #4 lines will almost always matchup against #4 traces, and no matter, they do not get enough ice time or power-play time to warrant enjoying in DFS. More frequently than not, Home teams will match the resistance’s #1 lineup with their particular #1 lineup. Yes, coaches tend to lack a great deal of imagination with line matchups, but there are definitely exceptions.
For instance, Winnipeg Jets Head Coach Paul Maurice prefers to matchup the competition’s #1 lineup with his 3rd lineup comprising Brandon Tanev, Andrew Copp, and Adam Lowry. A complete illustration of this situation works out from a DFS perspective is through the game against the Chicago Blackhawks this Monday.
When it comes to the Blackhawks, it’s apparent that their #1 line is the line that contains Jonathan Toews and Patrick Kane. On paper, a lineup with Jonathan Toews, Patrick Kane, and arbitrary left-winger Will be preferred from the likes of Brandon Tanev, Andrew Copp, and Adam Lowry. Yes, the final result did not work out considering the Hawks got shutout, but Chicago’s top line gets the advantage from a puck possession standpoint with a 60-40% edge in CFpercent (Note: CF stands for”Corsi For” while CA stands for”Corsi Against”. The term”Corsi” denotes any type of shot attempt( no matter if it is on net, or has blocked).