FULL UFC 177 BETTING ODDS (UPDATED WITH LATE ADDITIONS, INJURY REPLACEMENT)
With the UFC’s next pay-per-view event just over three months away, it’s time to start taking a look at the betting odds for the card. Two streaks on the card have lines released, and they’re about as different as could be. At the main event, T.J. Dillashaw will defend his newly won UFC bantamweight title against the man he took it from, Renan Barao. In their first battle, Barao closed as a enormous -910 favorite (bet $910 to acquire $100) over Dillashaw. The Team Alpha Male manhood ruled that first battle, scoring a fifth-round TKO in among the greatest statistical upsets in UFC history. This time, the odds are much nearer, with Dillashaw sitting at -140 and Barao the little underdog in +120 (bet $100 to win $120). There are eight additional bouts on the card that up until now did not have betting lines posted. MMA oddsmaker Nick Kalikas changed that now as he published the complete UFC 177 gambling odds at 5Dimes Sportsbook. ————– MAIN CARD (PPV, 10pm ET) UFC Bantamweight Title TJ Dillashaw -140 Renan Barao +100 Tony Ferguson -265 Danny Castillo +185 Bethe Correia -160 Shayna Baszler +120 Carlos Diego Ferreira -280 Ramsey Nijem +200 Yancy Medeiros -135 Damon Jackson -105 ————– PRELIMINARY CARD (Fox Sports 1, 8pm ET) Lorenz Larkin -140 Derek Brunson +100 Henry Cejudo -185 Scott Jorgensen +145 Anthony Hamilton -210 Ruan Potts +160 Joe Soto -125 Anthony Birchak -115 ————– PRELIMINARY CARD (UFC Fight Night, 7:30pm ET) Chris Wade -140 Cain Carrizosa +100 ————– Brad’s Evaluation: I actually want Bethe Correia to win this fight, so I never have to hear anything about the absurd”Four Horsewomen” ever again. Nevertheless, Correia has never confronted anyone of Baszler’s skill level, particularly when it comes to grappling. I think Baszler can wade through Correia’s striking and drag this fight to the ground where she will have a distinct advantage. The biggest worry for me is about Baszler’s long layoff and injury woes of late, and it can be more than enough to keep me away from betting her. Tony Ferguson appears like a nightmare matchup for Danny Castillo. Castillo has been tagged on the feet several times prior to, and unlike his charms against Tim Means or Anthony Njokuanihe won’t have the ability to fall back on his wrestling here if the striking does not go to plan. This ought to be very competitive in most regions, but Ferguson has slight edges which should propel him to victory. Lorenz Larkin is only 27, but the decline in his performances of late makes him seem like a 37-year-old. He seemed completely listless against Brad Tavares for 10 minutes, and was quickly dispatched by Costas Philippou. On the flip side, Derek Brunson supplied the toughest test of Yoel Romero’s career in his latest bout. It seems like Larkin was extremely overvalued as a prospect while in Strikeforce, while Brunson was overlooked. This is an extremely difficult bout to call in terms of a negative or a total, so I will likely stay out completely. On the other hand, I think Ramsey Nijem is in for a rough night against Carlos Diego Ferreira. Nijem may have a wrestling advantage , but even that is questionable. Ferreira is the much greater submission grappler, and likely even the greater striker at this stage (although Nijem’s advancement in that respect last time outside was nice to see). I anticipate Ferreira to get the win, and probably put another finish on his resume from his entry skills or Nijem’s questionable chin. Henry Cejudo consistently made for interesting bouts when he had been facing completely overmatched competition, so now that he’s up against a valid test in Scott Jorgensen, I must admit this is one of my most anticipated bouts on the card. The physical benefits here belong to Cejudo, as does the wrestling advantage, naturally. He may not have the well-rounded skill set to prevent Jorgensen, but I believe he wins rounds using takedowns and scrambling. Cejudo passed one of the important tests for prospects in his last outing as well, becoming cracked square to the jaw and shaking it off to win not just the fight, but that round too. The big question with Cejudo, as always, is: how concentrated is he? Maybe being signed by the UFC was the impetus he needed to begin taking the sport seriously, as in his previous appearances (and non-appearances) using Legacy FC, it’s quite obvious he’s been coasting occasionally. Against Jorgensen he may not have the ability to eliminate a half attempt, and when he does it will make him even more special. A Legacy veteran making his UFC debut with less fanfare is 39-year-old Richard Odoms. His only loss came to UFC heavyweight Jared Rosholt, but he has generally been in a position to control and outhustle opponents to pick up decisions. That will be hard against Ruslan Magomedov, who actually possesses decent cardio to get a heavyweight, to go together with his strong striking. Coming from almost a year layoff, it’s hard to expect much from Odoms, so that I expect Magomedov to pick up the win, but he’s someone I fully expect to fade if he can pick up a few more wins and face adequate competition. The hype on Yancy Medeiros came a bit too quickly, and should almost be snuffed out at this stage. His striking defense appeared atrocious against the two Yves Edwards and Jim Miller, along with his entry game was practically non-existent since he had been tapped within seconds of hitting the floor against Miller. Maybe that could work to the benefit of his backers from Justin Edwards nevertheless, as Edwards really isn’t UFC caliber, even in this point. Edwards has a fantastic guillotine, and not many different skills, so Medeiros has this struggle to win as long as he does not dive in that weapon. Edwards will likely come out quickly, since he must know that a win will mark the end of the UFC employ. Talking of pink-slip derbies, the loser of Ruan Potts and Anthony Hamilton will probably be shown the door too, since both place on putrid dislpays in their UFC debuts. Potts is an aggressive — but not overly talented — grappler, while Hamilton showed massive holes in his grappling against Alexey Oleinik. On the flip side, Hamilton has some electricity and Potts was put out with one shot on the ground against Soa Palelei. Either guy could complete this fight quickly and I would not be amazed, or they could play it safe and we could be treated to a truly awful heavyweight MMA. If the price for this particular bout to go over 1.5 rounds is high enough, I might just have a shot there in hopes the bout is of the hilariously bad variety, but I can’t see myself putting much more than Monopoly money down with this contest.
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